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The recent trading session on the New York Stock Exchange marked a noteworthy resurgence for Wall Street after a rocky start to the year 2025. The major indices concluded the day with significant gains, instilling a sense of optimism among investors.
The S&P 500 rose by 73.92 points, reflecting an increase of 1.26%, and closing at 5,942.47. Similarly, the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a rise of 339.86 points, ending the day at 42,732.13—an uptick of 0.8%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index performed even better, climbing by 340.88 points to settle at 19,621.68, marking an increase of 1.77%.
Technology stocks were a major driving force behind Friday's market uplift, with the Wanted America Technology Seven Index reporting a notable rise of nearly 2.1%. Among these, chip manufacturer Nvidia surged by 4.5%, while server maker Super Micro Computer experienced an impressive jump of 10.9%.
Moreover, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index, which focuses on the performance of Chinese stocks listed in the U.S., increased by 0.93%, while the Wanted Tech Leading Index for Chinese concepts was seen rising by 1.31%. This trend indicates a solid international engagement that reflects the interconnectedness of global markets.
Other companies, such as Constellation Energy and Vistra, witnessed their shares rise by 4% and 8.5% respectivelyThe tech giant Microsoft announced its plans to invest $80 billion in data centers supporting artificial intelligence for the fiscal year 2025, further buoying the market's sentiment surrounding power producers and AI-related stocks.
Leading investment portfolio manager Jeremiah Buckley from Janus Henderson Investors spoke about the ongoing influence of artificial intelligence on market dynamics, asserting that it has been an essential driver of profit growth over the past two yearsHe noted, “AI remains fundamentally strong and will continue driving profit increases moving forward.”
Despite Friday's rebound, the week showed a mixed performance
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The S&P 500 fell by 0.48% over the week, the Dow Jones decreased by 0.60%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index ended the week lower by 0.51%. This led some analysts to speculate about the absence of a potential “Santa Claus Rally,” where stocks typically rise in the last five trading days of the year and the first two of the new year.
As experts reflected on the overall regional performance, they ended the previous year on a solid note, even with some fluctuations observed in the latter weeks before the turn of the yearLooking ahead, a sense of optimism still lingers among market analysts, with predictions for strong upward momentum in 2025.
David Lefkowitz from UBS expressed his optimistic outlook for the market trends in the coming years, highlighting potential room for growthIn a recent report, he projected that by the end of 2025, the S&P 500 index could reach as high as 6,600 points, primarily propelled by expected overall profit growth of 9%.
On a cautious note, Deutsche Bank has advised investors not to dwell too much on the S&P's rocky start to 2025. Macroeconomic strategist Henry Allen pointed out that occurrences of initial declines in the first trading day have happened in the past, and historical patterns showcase that in the following years, stocks often rebound to exceed 20% gains.
Moreover, strategists from Capital Economics have predicted that the American equity market could complete three consecutive years of growth exceeding 20%. If achieved, it would only be the second time for this pattern in U.S. stock market historyThe last time the market exhibited such continuous dynamic growth was during the late 1990s internet bubble, characterized by a 31% rise in the S&P 500 in 1997, followed by a 27% gain in 1998 and a 20% increase in 1999.
Comparatively, the projected returns for the S&P 500 in 2023 and 2024 were 24% and 23%, respectively, reflecting a trend toward consistent upward momentum
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Diana Iovanel, a senior macroeconomist at Capital Economics, outlined the two prominent factors likely driving the bull market in 2025: enduring enthusiasm for artificial intelligence and the phenomenon of “American exceptionalism.”
According to Iovanel, the current valuation of the U.S. market significantly remains below the peaks witnessed during the internet bubble, highlighting the likelihood of further growth. “The excess returns generated by large-cap technology stocks are far exceeding those from the peak of the bubble era,” she remarked, hinting at potential continued investments in AI-driven companies.
While the majority of Wall Street analysts maintain a bullish outlook, not everyone shares the same level of optimismMichael Cembalest, strategist at JPMorgan, predicts a potential market correction of 10% to 15% in the forthcoming year.
In contrast, institutions like UBS express confidence in leading technology stocks, affirming their strength within the marketReports on Nvidia's remarkable stock performance in 2024, which surged 171%, do not suggest overvaluationAnalysts focus on the PEG ratio developed by Peter Lynch, which is a comparative measure of a company's price-to-earnings ratio to its anticipated earnings growth rate, to reinforce Nvidia's stock appeal moving forward.
According to projected earnings for 2025, Nvidia's P/E ratio is anticipated to be 31 by the end of 2024, with a predicted growth rate of 52%, creating a PEG ratio of only 0.6, indicating room for growth potential in the tech giant's stock value.
Analysts have also boldly remarked on the automotive manufacturer Tesla, noting fourth-quarter delivery numbers fell short of market expectations by approximately 3%. Despite not achieving minimal growth targets, Tesla's delivery of 495,600 cars during the quarter set a company record, showcasing growth of over 10,000 vehicles compared to the previous yearPredictions suggest strong growth in delivery numbers surpassing 9 million by the end of 2025, with mid-year projections indicating figures could reach 10 million.
Meanwhile, Citi analysts have forecasted substantial revenue growth for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) driven by its burgeoning partnership with Nvidia, potentially contributing to 20% of revenues
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